Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 2713.414988 2933.245223 3155.764730 3397.565374 3652.596194 3913.282383 4199.577897
2025-02-02 2393.840677 2725.270477 3073.023430 3463.915207 3889.851817 4338.726663 4846.339395
2025-02-09 2149.789107 2545.219832 2971.416526 3462.481790 4010.197510 4599.897790 5280.334938
2025-02-16 1947.637985 2385.750748 2868.986076 3437.538992 4084.099545 4792.533147 5623.384773
2025-02-23 1819.839118 2296.222306 2832.243207 3474.206923 4216.209580 5041.097053 6021.490863
2025-03-02 1688.108410 2190.918372 2767.419607 3469.390487 4292.977443 5220.733255 6336.702108
2025-03-09 1603.899357 2134.758624 2753.667285 3518.291906 4427.095961 5462.520548 6720.791033
2025-03-16 1488.353485 2033.144211 2679.249709 3489.290173 4464.666747 5588.522698 6968.075189
2025-03-23 1436.383337 2005.824562 2690.949552 3560.478586 4618.763214 5849.426944 7372.485605
2025-03-30 1362.988304 1947.135800 2660.416673 3577.010431 4704.694236 6028.202775 7679.535255
2025-04-06 1289.426889 1884.083385 2620.847063 3579.178882 4770.602080 6181.351223 7955.244766
2025-04-13 1176.428986 1764.207207 2504.675740 3481.146579 4709.436110 6178.238485 8041.046042
2025-04-20 1160.149825 1772.136896 2552.203401 3590.804451 4907.897192 6493.602275 8516.510583
2025-04-27 1127.624444 1756.589846 2568.330347 3660.054018 5056.302474 6749.179275 8921.949535
2025-05-04 1068.746582 1702.152318 2531.109672 3658.560307 5114.064891 6892.471026 9190.188116
2025-05-11 1004.482731 1637.085243 2477.019543 3632.594783 5138.669916 6993.276372 9405.444493
2025-05-18 968.918631 1610.495518 2472.839087 3670.765525 5244.498484 7195.016454 9745.923883
2025-05-25 919.873556 1562.296628 2437.374432 3665.751940 5293.317317 7324.555524 9996.602478
2025-06-01 893.696755 1545.895573 2444.359121 3716.651551 5414.423954 7545.456139 10362.328652
2025-06-08 841.361771 1488.593004 2392.612756 3686.465687 5427.888223 7628.805832 10554.883644
2025-06-15 826.738456 1486.760455 2417.835975 3760.555926 5578.770007 7887.919539 10970.349712
2025-06-22 794.598079 1456.919233 2402.263929 3777.759365 5653.630336 8049.487828 11262.710885
2025-06-29 759.567653 1421.047146 2376.719112 3780.015844 5707.722734 8183.938915 11520.748027